Oh, Charlotte, what’s happening to your office space? While the Queen City has always prided itself on its bustling business environment, recent statistics reveal a troubling trend. Right now, over 13.8 million square feet of office space in Charlotte is sitting empty—this amount represents a hefty revenue loss of $462.2 million. Ouch!
But it’s not just Charlotte feeling this pinch. Across the United States, office vacancy rates are at their highest in 45 years. Experts predict that by early 2026, about a quarter of the existing office spaces may be vacant. It’s a startling forecast!
What’s even more concerning is that currently, 11 major metros are struggling with at least $1 billion worth of vacant office space. Atlanta tops the charts in the Southeast with nearly 40 million square feet unoccupied, leading to an eye-popping revenue loss overtaking $1.2 billion.
As of the third quarter of the year, Charlotte’s overall vacancy rate stands at a striking 22.5%. Reflecting on this rise over the past four years, Chuck McShane, a senior director of market analytics for the Carolinas, believes that the city is experiencing an ongoing “flight-to-quality.” This means that businesses are opting for higher quality spaces, leaving older or less desirable buildings behind.
“The longer this situation lasts, the more revenue loss we’ll see. Property owners have tried to hold out as long as they could, but the longer these older buildings remain vacant, the more likely we’ll see some drastic changes, like a sale at a discount or even foreclosure,” McShane adds.
In a surprising twist, even amid these vacancy issues, asking rents in Charlotte are still on the rise! On average, office rents are climbing at about 2% year over year. Right now, the average asking office rent is approximately $33.46 per square foot. However, McShane notes this growth isn’t quite keeping up with inflation, a point that might mask some severe value losses in older and less well-located properties.
Looking ahead, it seems the next couple of years could offer more clarity on this complex situation. The construction of new Class A office buildings is tapering off, with only about 565,000 square feet currently underway. By the end of this year, a couple of new projects like the Legacy Union 6Hundred in uptown and a 150,000-square-foot property in Plaza Midwood are expected to make their debut.
Experts speculate that 2025 and 2026 might be crucial years as we begin to identify which older properties will have a bright future ahead and which may fade away.
It’s important to note that Charlotte isn’t alone in this issue. Cities like New York are feeling the pinch even more, with a staggering 105.8 million square feet of office space empty, resulting in an astonishing rent loss of $7.61 billion annually. It seems that the nationwide trend of remote and hybrid work is reshaping the very fabric of how we think about office space usage.
Similarly, cities like Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Chicago are also grappling with their own significant losses, showcasing a sweeping change across the country’s business landscape.
As we watch the situation unfold in the coming months and years, it’s clear that all eyes are on Charlotte and other major metros. Will the Queen City adapt to the shifting demands of its workforce, or will it become the home of unused office buildings? Only time will tell!
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